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Trade

A collection of 4 posts
DeepDive: Data Dump June 2024
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DeepDive: Data Dump June 2024

In this Data Dump, we delve into China’s latest macro-economic data, with a special focus on the consumer and the housing market. While home sales jumped in the second half of June, we think this should be taken with a pinch of salt for now, as much of the
03 Jul 2024 5 min read
QuickScan: Exports Up, Trade Relations Down
Paid-members only

QuickScan: Exports Up, Trade Relations Down

Exports have provided a helping hand to the Chinese economy amid sluggish domestic demand this year, in line with our assumption going into the year (see QuickScan: Can the External Macro Environment Prove to Be a Boon?). Shipments will likely remain robust in the coming months, with recent signs of
20 May 2024 4 min read
QuickScan: More Trade Tensions
Paid-members only

QuickScan: More Trade Tensions

Trade tensions have been ratcheting up again, as shown by our proprietary text-based China trade tension indicator. While still early days, this, along with recent increases in geostrategic risk, will likely introduce further uncertainty and may dampen business sentiment. These developments should therefore be watched closely. Nevertheless, we continue to
17 Jan 2024 4 min read
QuickScan: How Important Are Exports?
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QuickScan: How Important Are Exports?

In this QuickScan, we take a look at July’s trade data and explain why exports remain a crucial part of China’s economy. We also look at our July text-based macro indicators, which continue to point to more economic weakness.
09 Aug 2023 4 min read
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